\begin{table}[h!]
\begin{center}
\begin{threeparttable}
\begin{scriptsize}
\caption{Difference-in-differences evidence}\label{TableC1}
\begin{tabular*}{\columnwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\stretch{1}}}l*{7}{c}@{}}
\hline
\hline
                                                                                               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(1)}        &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(2)}        &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(3)}        &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(4)}        &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(5)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(6)} &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(7)}      \\
\multicolumn{1}{l}{\textit{Dep. Variable}}     &\multicolumn{4}{c}{Democratic vote (\%)}       &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Rep (\%)}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Dem (\%)}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Turnout (\%)}\\
                                                                                               \cmidrule(lr){2-5}      \cmidrule(lr){6-6}      \cmidrule(lr){7-7} \cmidrule(lr){8-8}
\multicolumn{1}{l}{\textit{Speech variable}}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speech}     &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speeches/}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speeches/}  &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Distance}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speech}     &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speech}     &\multicolumn{1}{c}{Speech}     \\
                                                                                               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(binary)}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{10k pop}    &\multicolumn{1}{c}{10k pop}    &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(log km)}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(binary)}   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(false)}    &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(binary)}   \\
\hline
\\
Speech $ \times $ 1884&     --0.016   &       0.593   &       0.299   &     --0.171   &     --0.131   &     --0.007   &       0.794   \\
                    &     (0.414)   &     (0.566)   &     (1.043)   &     (0.265)   &     (0.407)   &     (1.412)   &     (0.688)   \\
[0.5em] Speech $ \times $ 1888&     --0.250   &       0.047   &       0.018   &     --0.199   &       0.207   &       1.638   &       0.415   \\
                    &     (0.314)   &     (0.449)   &     (0.767)   &     (0.218)   &     (0.285)   &     (1.395)   &     (0.656)   \\
\\ Speech $ \times $ 1892 (omitted) & 0.000 & 0.000 & 0.000 & 0.000 & 0.000 & 0.000 & 0.000 \\ 



\\ Speech $ \times $ 1896&       0.974***&       0.735*  &       2.148***&     --0.471** &     --0.861***&     --0.208   &       0.474   \\
                    &     (0.318)   &     (0.424)   &     (0.499)   &     (0.203)   &     (0.295)   &     (1.110)   &     (0.491)   \\
[0.5em] Speech $ \times $ 1900&       0.283   &       0.566*  &       0.743   &     --0.539** &     --0.439   &       0.196   &       0.565   \\
                    &     (0.360)   &     (0.339)   &     (0.552)   &     (0.238)   &     (0.355)   &     (1.239)   &     (0.521)   \\
Speech squared $ \times $ 1884&               &               &       0.290   &               &               &               &               \\
                    &               &               &     (0.652)   &               &               &               &               \\
[0.5em] Speech squared $ \times $ 1888&               &               &       0.117   &               &               &               &               \\
                    &               &               &     (0.473)   &               &               &               &               \\
\\ Speech sq. $ \times $ 1892 (omitted) &       &       & 0.000 &       &       &       &       \\ 



\\ Speech squared $ \times $ 1896&               &               &     --0.663***&               &               &               &               \\
                    &               &               &     (0.131)   &               &               &               &               \\
[0.5em] Speech squared $ \times $ 1900&               &               &     --0.090   &               &               &               &               \\
                    &               &               &     (0.150)   &               &               &               &               \\
\\ Full controls    &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
Year $ \times $ State FE &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
Year $ \times $ Farmers (\%) &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
Year $ \times $ Workers (\%) &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
County FE           &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
Mean dep. variable  &       47.71   &       47.71   &       47.71   &       47.71   &       49.80   &       65.09   &       81.52   \\
Observations        &       6,829   &       6,829   &       6,829   &       6,829   &       6,829   &       3,633   &       6,829   \\
Clusters            &       1,410   &       1,410   &       1,410   &       1,410   &       1,410   &         735   &       1,410   \\
Adjusted $ R^2 $    &        0.89   &        0.89   &        0.89   &        0.89   &        0.89   &        0.82   &        0.86   \\


\hline
Pre-trends joint significance \\
\multicolumn{1}{l}{F-statistic $ (\hat{\beta}_{1884}=\hat{\beta}_{1888}=0) $}&        0.59   &        0.79   &        0.50   &        0.42   &        0.88   &        1.44   &        0.67   \\
\multicolumn{1}{l}{p-value $ (\hat{\beta}_{1884}=\hat{\beta}_{1888}=0) $}&        0.55   &        0.45   &        0.74   &        0.66   &        0.42   &        0.24   &        0.51   \\
\hline
\hline
\end{tabular*}
\end{scriptsize}
\begin{tablenotes}[normal,flushleft]
\begin{scriptsize}
\item \emph{Notes}: OLS regressions. The unit of observation is a county $ \times $ election. 
Time-varying controls: Year $ \times $ Farmers (\%), Year $ \times $ Manufacture workers (\%). 
All regressions include the full set of controls presented in Table \ref{Table1}, except time invariant geographical characteristics. 
All regressions include Year $ \times $ State fixed-effects and county fixed-effects. 
Standard errors clustered at the county level in parentheses.
* significant at 10\%; ** at 5\%; *** at 1\%. 
\textit{Pre-trends joint significance} is a F-test that the 1884 and 1888 are jointly different from the 1892 coefficient. 
\end{scriptsize}
\end{tablenotes}
\end{threeparttable} 
\end{center}
\end{table}
