\begin{table}[h!]
\begin{center}
\begin{threeparttable}
\begin{scriptsize}
\caption{Details on estimating methods: Cross-sectional falsifications}\label{TableB3}
\begin{tabular*}{\columnwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\stretch{1}}}l*{5}{c}@{}}
\hline
\hline
                                                                                               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(1)}                &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(2)}                &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(3)}                &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(4)}                &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(5)} \\
\multicolumn{1}{l}{\textit{Dep. Variable}} &\multicolumn{5}{c}{Democratic vote (\%) in 1896} \\
\cmidrule(lr){2-6}   
\multicolumn{1}{l}{\textit{Election year}}             &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1884}               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1888}               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1892}               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1896}               &\multicolumn{1}{c}{1900} \\
\multicolumn{1}{l}{}                                                   &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(None)}             &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(None)}             &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(None)}             &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(Bryan)}    &\multicolumn{1}{c}{(D and R)} \\
\hline
\multicolumn{6}{c}{Panel A. Baseline (within state) estimation} \\
\hline
\\
Speech (binary)     &       0.374   &     --0.018   &     --0.047   &       1.186***&       0.214   \\
                    &     (0.374)   &     (0.324)   &     (0.295)   &     (0.292)   &     (0.314)   \\
\\ State FE         &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
Observations        &       1,194   &       1,196   &       1,305   &       1,410   &       1,357   \\
Clusters            &         223   &         226   &         232   &         228   &         229   \\
Adjusted $ R^2 $    &        0.84   &        0.90   &        0.85   &        0.86   &        0.85   \\
\hline
\multicolumn{6}{c}{Panel B. Within neighbor-pair estimation} \\
\hline
\\
Speech (binary)     &     --0.334   &       0.396** &       0.116   &       0.616***&       0.436** \\
                    &     (0.279)   &     (0.188)   &     (0.170)   &     (0.172)   &     (0.179)   \\
\\ Neighbor-pair FE &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
Observations        &       2,168   &       2,172   &       2,306   &       2,450   &       2,364   \\
Clusters            &       1,084   &       1,086   &       1,153   &       1,225   &       1,182   \\
Adjusted $ R^2 $    &        0.80   &        0.90   &        0.90   &        0.89   &        0.90   \\
\hline
\multicolumn{6}{c}{Panel C. Within district estimation} \\
\hline
\\
Speech (binary)     &       0.138   &       0.169   &     --0.438   &       0.755***&       0.035   \\
                    &     (0.361)   &     (0.284)   &     (0.283)   &     (0.286)   &     (0.305)   \\
\\ Congressional district FE &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
Observations        &       1,172   &       1,172   &       1,279   &       1,384   &       1,330   \\
Clusters            &         201   &         202   &         206   &         202   &         202   \\
Adjusted $ R^2 $    &        0.85   &        0.91   &        0.88   &        0.88   &        0.88   \\
\hline
\multicolumn{6}{c}{Panel D. Entropy balancing estimation} \\
\hline
\\
Speech (binary)     &       0.541   &       0.185   &     --0.316   &       1.041***&     --0.354   \\
                    &     (0.360)   &     (0.296)   &     (0.306)   &     (0.315)   &     (0.422)   \\
\\ State FE         &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   &         Yes   \\
\hline
Observations        &       1,194   &       1,196   &       1,305   &       1,410   &       1,357   \\
Clusters            &         223   &         226   &         232   &         228   &         229   \\
Adjusted $ R^2 $    &        0.83   &        0.86   &        0.87   &        0.89   &        0.87   \\
\hline
\multicolumn{6}{c}{Panel E. Nearest neighbor matching estimation} \\
\hline
\\
ATE                 &               &               &               &               &               \\
Speech (binary)     &       0.374   &     --0.485   &     --0.151   &       1.139** &       0.125   \\
                    &     (0.487)   &     (0.334)   &     (0.457)   &     (0.550)   &     (0.554)   \\
\\
\hline
Observations        &       1,194   &       1,196   &       1,305   &       1,410   &       1,357   \\
\hline
\hline
\end{tabular*}
\end{scriptsize}
\begin{tablenotes}[normal,flushleft]
\begin{scriptsize}
\item \emph{Notes}: OLS regressions. The unit of observation is a county. 
All regressions include the full set of controls presented in Table \ref{Table1} with the exception of the Matching estimator. 
Counties matched using the set of controls presented in Table \ref{Table1} in Panel E. 
Panels A, C, and D: standard errors clustered at the congressional district level in parentheses; 
Panel B: at the neighbor-pair level. 
* significant at 10\%; ** at 5\%; *** at 1\%. 
\end{scriptsize}
\end{tablenotes}
\end{threeparttable} 
\end{center}
\end{table}
